Mihaela Paun
General Director / Research Scientist I - Danubius
Biography
I obtained my bachelor's degree in Computer Science at the University of Bucharest in 1998. Then, I continued my studies with a Master's degree in Computer Science at the University of Western Ontario in 2000 and a PhD in Computational Analysis, Modeling and Applied Statistics at Louisiana Tech University in 2006. Currently, I am working as a Principal Investigator at the National Research and Development Institute for Biological Sciences.
My current research interests are in biostatistics and biocomputing, membrane computing, high performance computing and environmental data analysis. I graduated from the Computational Analysis and Modeling (CAM) program and supervised and graduated three PhD students. In 2017, I received my habilitation in Statistics from the University of Economic Studies Bucharest, where I am currently supervising PhD students.
In 2020, I was elected Vice President of the Scientific Council of the National Institute for Research and Development in Biological Sciences, and since the same year, I have held the position of Director General of the Institute.
Publications
| Publication | Authors | data | |
|---|---|---|---|
article
From Rock To Living Systems: Lanthanides Toxicity And Biological Interactions |
Constantin Marian; Chioncel Mariana F.; Petrescu Livia; Vrancianu Corneliu Ovidiu; Paun Mihaela; Cristian Roxana-Elena; Sidoroff Manuela; Dionisie Mihai Viorel; Chifiriuc Mariana Carmen | Ecotoxicology And Environmental Safety, 2025 | |
AbstractSince the discovery of lanthanides, the expanding range of applications and the growing demand for lanthanides in different aspects of life have escalated their dispersion in the environment, raising concerns about their impact on the living world. This review explores the interaction between lanthanides and different groups of living organisms (bacteria, algae, lichens, plants, invertebrates, and low vertebrates), reflecting the current state of scientific knowledge. We have aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of relevant studies, highlight existing gaps, and suggest potential areas for future research to enhance the understanding of this topic. |
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article
Healthcare-Associated Infections: The Role Of Microbial And Environmental Factors In Infection Control-A Narrative Review |
Sandu Andreea M.; Chifiriuc Mariana C.; Vrancianu Corneliu O.; Cristian Roxana-E.; Alistar Cristina F.; Constantin Marian; Paun Mihaela; Alistar Alexandru; Popa Loredana G.; Popa Mircea I.; Tantu Ana C.; Sidoroff Manuela E.; Mihai Mara M.; Marcu Andreea; Popescu George; Tantu Monica M. | Infectious Diseases And Therapy, 2025 | |
AbstractHealthcare-associated infections (HAIs), previously known as nosocomial infections, represent a significant threat to healthcare systems worldwide, prolonging patient hospital stays and the duration of antimicrobial therapy. One of the most serious consequences of HAIs is the increase in the rate of antibiotic resistance (AR) generated by the prolonged, frequent, and sometimes incorrect use of antibiotics, which leads to the selection of resistant bacteria, making treatment difficult and expensive, with direct consequences for the safety of patients and healthcare personnel. Therefore, timely and accurate diagnosis of HAIs is mandatory to develop appropriate infection prevention and control practices (IPC) and new therapeutic strategies. This review aimed to present the prevalence, risk factors, current diagnosis, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning approaches, future perspectives in combating HAIs causative bacteria (phage therapy, microbiome-based interventions, and vaccination), and HAIs surveillance strategies. Also, we discussed the latest findings regarding the relationships of AR with climate change and environmental pollution in the context of the One Health approach. Phage therapy is an emerging option that can offer an alternative to ineffective antibiotic treatments for antibiotic-resistant bacteria causing HAIs. Clinical trials dealing with vaccine development for resistant bacteria have yielded conflicting results. Two promising strategies, fecal microbiota transplantation and probiotic therapy, proved highly effective against recurrent Clostridium difficile infections and have been shown to reduce HAI incidence in hospitalized patients undergoing antibiotic therapy. Artificial intelligence and machine learning systems offer promising predictive capabilities in processing large volumes of clinical, microbiological, and patient data but require robust data integration. Our paper argues that HAIs are still a global challenge, requiring stringent IPC policies, computer vision, and AI-powered tools. Despite promising avenues like integrated One Health approaches, optimized phage therapy, microbiome-based interventions, and targeted vaccine development, several knowledge gaps in clinical efficacy, standardization, and pathogen complexity remain to be answered. |
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article
Healthcare-Associated Infections: The Role Of Microbial And Environmental Factors In Infection Control—A Narrative Review |
Sandu A.M.; Chifiriuc M.C.; Vrancianu C.O.; Cristian R.-E.; Alistar C.F.; Constantin M.; Paun M.; Alistar A.; Popa L.G.; Popa M.I.; Tantu A.C.; Sidoroff M.E.; Mihai M.M.; Marcu A.; Popescu G.; Tantu M.M. | Infectious Diseases And Therapy, 2025 | |
AbstractHealthcare-associated infections (HAIs), previously known as nosocomial infections, represent a significant threat to healthcare systems worldwide, prolonging patient hospital stays and the duration of antimicrobial therapy. One of the most serious consequences of HAIs is the increase in the rate of antibiotic resistance (AR) generated by the prolonged, frequent, and sometimes incorrect use of antibiotics, which leads to the selection of resistant bacteria, making treatment difficult and expensive, with direct consequences for the safety of patients and healthcare personnel. Therefore, timely and accurate diagnosis of HAIs is mandatory to develop appropriate infection prevention and control practices (IPC) and new therapeutic strategies. This review aimed to present the prevalence, risk factors, current diagnosis, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning approaches, future perspectives in combating HAIs causative bacteria (phage therapy, microbiome-based interventions, and vaccination), and HAIs surveillance strategies. Also, we discussed the latest findings regarding the relationships of AR with climate change and environmental pollution in the context of the One Health approach. Phage therapy is an emerging option that can offer an alternative to ineffective antibiotic treatments for antibiotic-resistant bacteria causing HAIs. Clinical trials dealing with vaccine development for resistant bacteria have yielded conflicting results. Two promising strategies, fecal microbiota transplantation and probiotic therapy, proved highly effective against recurrent Clostridium difficile infections and have been shown to reduce HAI incidence in hospitalized patients undergoing antibiotic therapy. Artificial intelligence and machine learning systems offer promising predictive capabilities in processing large volumes of clinical, microbiological, and patient data but require robust data integration. Our paper argues that HAIs are still a global challenge, requiring stringent IPC policies, computer vision, and AI-powered tools. Despite promising avenues like integrated One Health approaches, optimized phage therapy, microbiome-based interventions, and targeted vaccine development, several knowledge gaps in clinical efficacy, standardization, and pathogen complexity remain to be answered. © The Author(s) 2025. |
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conference paper
Jump Complexity Of Deterministic Finite Automata With Translucent Letters |
Zsolt Fazekas S.; Mitrana V.; Păun A.; Păun M. | Lecture Notes In Computer Science (Including Subseries Lecture Notes In Artificial Intelligence And Lecture Notes In Bioinformatics), 2025 | |
AbstractWe investigate a dynamical complexity measure defined for finite automata with translucent letters (FAwtl). Roughly, this measure counts the minimal number of necessary jumps for such an automaton in order to accept an input. The model considered here is the deterministic finite automaton with translucent letters (DFAwtl). Unlike in the case of the nondeterministic variant, the function describing the jump complexity of any DFAwtl is either bounded by a constant or it is linear. We give a polynomial-time algorithm for deciding whether the jump complexity of a DFAwtl is constant-bounded or linear and we prove that the equivalence problem for DFAwtl of O(1) jump complexity is decidable. We also consider another fundamental problem for extensions of finite automata models, deciding whether the language accepted by a FAwtl is regular. We give a positive partial answer for DFAwtl over the binary alphabet, in contrast with the case of NFAwtl, where the problem is undecidable. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2025. |
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article
Networks Of Splicing Processors: Path Graph Topology Simulation |
Martin Jose Angel Sanchez; Mitrana Victor; Paun Mihaela | Natural Computing, 2025 | |
AbstractWe propose a direct simulation of an arbitrary network of splicing processors by a network of splicing processors having an underlying path graph. This is in line with similar simulations where the target network has other widely used graph topologies: complete graph, lattice graph, star graph, wheel graph, etc. Along with the effective construction, we provide an analysis of the size and time complexity of the obtained network. Our construction may not be the most economic conversion in terms of number of nodes, hence further investigation to find more succinct networks are of (at least) theoretical interest. |
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conference
Distributed Reaction Systems Viewed As Multi-Agent Systems |
Victor Mitrana; Andrei Paun; Mihaela Paun | Ieee 22Nd International Symposium On Intelligent Systems And Informatics, Sisy 2024, 2024 | |
Abstract |
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article
Global Fertility In 204 Countries And Territories, 1950-2021, With Forecasts To 2100: A Comprehensive Demographic Analysis For The Global Burden Of Disease Study 2021 |
Bhattacharjee Natalia V.; Schumacher Austin E.; Aali Amirali; Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh; Abbasian Mohammadreza; Abbasi-Kangevari Mohsen; Abbastabar Hedayat; Abd ElHafeez Samar; Abd-Elsalam Sherief; Abdollahi Mohammad; Abdollahifar Mohammad-Amin; Abdoun Meriem; Abdullahi Auwal; Abebe Mesfin; Abebe Samrawit Shawel; Abiodun Olumide; Abolhassani Hassan; Abolmaali Meysam; Abouzid Mohamed; Aboye Girma Beressa; Abreu Lucas Guimaraes; Abrha Woldu Aberhe; Abrigo Michael R. M.; Abtahi Dariush; Abualruz Hasan; Abubakar Bilyaminu; Abu-Gharbieh Eman; Abu-Rmeileh Niveen M. E.; Adal Tadele Girum Girum; Adane Mesafint Molla; Adeagbo Oluwafemi Atanda Adeagbo; Adedoyin Rufus Adesoji; Adekanmbi Victor; Aden Bashir; Adepoju Abiola Victor; Adetokunboh Olatunji O.; Adetunji Juliana Bunmi; Adeyinka Daniel Adedayo; Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel; Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah; Adra Saryia; Afolabi Rotimi Felix; Afyouni Shadi; Afzal Muhammad Sohail; Afzal Saira; Aghamiri Shahin; Agodi Antonella; Agyemang-Duah Williams; Ahinkorah Bright Opoku; Ahlstrom Austin J.; Ahmad Aqeel; Ahmad Danish; Ahmad Firdos; Ahmad Muayyad M.; Ahmad Sajjad; Ahmad Tauseef; Ahmed Ali; Ahmed Ayman; Ahmed Haroon; Ahmed Luai A.; Ahmed Meqdad Saleh; Ahmed Syed Anees; Ajami Marjan; Aji Budi; Akalu Gizachew Taddesse; Akbarialiabad Hossein; Akinyemi Rufus Olusola; Akkaif Mohammed Ahmed; Akkala Sreelatha; Al Hamad Hanadi; Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz; Al Qadire Mohammad; Al-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali; Alalalmeh Samer O.; Alalwan Tariq A.; Al-Aly Ziyad; Alam Khurshid; Al-Amer Rasmieh Mustafa; Alanezi Fahad Mashhour; Alanzi Turki M.; Albakri Almaza; Albashtawy Mohammed; AlBataineh Mohammad T.; Alemi Hediyeh; Alemi Sharifullah; Alemu Yihun Mulugeta; Al-Eyadhy Ayman; Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed; Alhabib Khalid F.; Alhajri Noora; Alhalaiqa Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa; Alhassan Robert Kaba; Ali Abid; Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir; Ali Liaqat; Ali Mohammed Usman; Ali Rafat; Ali Syed Shujait Shujait; Alif Sheikh Mohammad; Aligol Mohammad; Alijanzadeh Mehran; Aljasir Mohammad A. M.; Aljunid Syed Mohamed; Al-Marwani Sabah; Almazan Joseph Uy; Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M.; Almidani Omar; Alomari Mahmoud A.; Al-Omari Basem; Alqahtani Jaber S.; Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen; Al-Raddadi Rajaa M.; Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah; Altaf Awais; Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A.; Altirkawi Khalid A.; Aluh Deborah Oyine; Alvi Farrukh Jawad; Alvis-Guzman Nelson; Alwafi Hassan; Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed; Aly Hany; Aly Safwat; Alzoubi Karem H.; Ameyaw Edward Kwabena; Amin Tarek Tawfik; Amindarolzarbi Alireza; Amini-Rarani Mostafa; Amiri Sohrab; Ampomah Irene Gyamfuah; Amugsi Dickson A.; Amusa Ganiyu Adeniyi; Ancuceanu Robert; Anderlini Deanna; Andrade Pedro Prata; Andrei Catalina Liliana; Andrei Tudorel; Anil Abhishek; Anil Sneha; Ansar Adnan; Ansari-Moghaddam Alireza; Antony Catherine M.; Antriyandarti Ernoiz; Anvari Saeid; Anwar Saleha; Anwer Razique; Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward; Arabloo Jalal; Bahri Razman Arabzadeh; Arafa Elshaimaa A.; Arafat Mosab; Araujo Ana Margarida; Aravkin Aleksandr Y.; Aremu Abdulfatai; Aripov Timur; Arkew Mesay; Armocida Benedetta; Arnlov Johan; Arooj Mahwish; Artamonov Anton A.; Arulappan Judie; Aruleba Raphael Taiwo; Arumugam Ashokan; Asadi-Lari Mohsen; Asemi Zatollah; Asgary Saeed; Asghariahmadabad Mona; Asghari-Jafarabadi Mohammad; Ashemo Mubarek Yesse; Ashraf Muhammad; Ashraf Tahira; Asika Marvellous O.; Athari Seyyed Shamsadin; Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi; Atreya Alok; Aujayeb Avinash; Ausloos Marcel; Avan Abolfazl; Aweke Amlaku Mulat; Ayele Getnet Melaku; Ayyoubzadeh Seyed Mohammad; Azadnajafabad Sina; Azevedo Rui M. S.; Azzam Ahmed Y.; Badar Muhammad; Badiye Ashish D.; Baghdadi Soroush; Bagheri Nasser; Bagherieh Sara; Bahmanziari Najmeh; Bai Ruhai; Baig Atif Amin; Baker Jennifer L.; Bako Abdulaziz T.; Bakshi Ravleen Kaur; Balasubramanian Madhan; Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin; Bam Kiran; Banach Maciej; Bandyopadhyay Soham; Banik Biswajit; Banik Palash Chandra; Bansal Hansi; Baran Mehmet Firat; Barchitta Martina; Bardhan Mainak; Bardideh Erfan; Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn; Barnighausen Till Winfried; Barone-Adesi Francesco; Barqawi Hiba Jawdat; Barrow Amadou; Barteit Sandra; Basharat Zarrin; Bashir Asma'u I. J.; Bashiru Hameed Akande; Basiru Afisu; Basso Joao Diogo; Basu Sanjay; Batiha Abdul-Monim Mohammad; Batra Kavita; Baune Bernhard T.; Bayati Mohsen; Begum Tahmina; Behboudi Emad; Behnoush Amir Hossein; Beiranvand Maryam; Ramirez Diana Fernanda Bejarano; Bekele Alehegn; Belay Sefealem Assefa; Belgaumi Uzma Iqbal; Bell Michelle L.; Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja; Beloukas Apostolos; Bensenor Isabela M.; Berezvai Zombor; Berhie Alemshet Yirga; Bermudez Amiel Nazer C.; Bettencourt Paulo J. G.; Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth; Bhardwaj Nikha; Bhardwaj Pankaj; Bhardwaj Prarthna V.; Bhaskar Sonu; Bhat Vivek; Bhatti Gurjit Kaur; Bhatti Jasvinder Singh; Bhatti Manpreet S.; Bhatti Rajbir; Biondi Antonio; Bisignano Catherine; Biswas Atanu; Biswas Raaj Kishore; Bitra Veera R.; Bjorge Tone; Bliss Elye; Boachie Micheal Kofi; Bobirca Anca Vasilica; Bodolica Virginia; Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan; Bogale Eyob Ketema; Bogale Kassawmar Angaw; Hashemi Milad Bonakdar; Basara Berrak Bora; Bouaoud Souad; Braithwaite Dejana; Brauer Michael; Breitborde Nicholas J. K.; Bryazka Dana; Bulamu Norma B.; Buonsenso Danilo; Burkart Katrin; Burns Richard A.; Bustanji Yasser; Butt Nadeem Shafique; Butt Zahid A.; dos Santos Florentino Luciano Caetano; Calina Daniela; Campos-Nonato Ismael R.; Cao Fan; Cao Shujin; Capodici Angelo; Carreras Giulia; Carugno Andrea; Castaneda-Orjuela Carlos A.; Castelpietra Giulio; Cattaruzza Maria Sofia; Caye Arthur; Cegolon Luca; Cembranel Francieli; Cerin Ester; Chadwick Joshua; Chahine Yaacoub; Chakraborty Chiranjib; Chalek Julian; Chan Jeffrey Shi Kai; Charalampous Periklis; Chattu Vijay Kumar; Chaturvedi Sarika; Chavula Malizgani Paul; Chen An-Tian; Chen Haowei; Chen Simiao; Chi Gerald; Chichagi Fatemeh; Chien Ju-Huei; Ching Patrick R.; Cho William C. S.; Choi Sungchul; Chong Bryan; Chopra Hitesh; Choudhari Sonali Gajanan; Christopher Devasahayam J.; Chu Dinh-Toi; Chukwu Isaac Sunday; Chung Eric; Chung Sheng-Chia; Cindi Zinhle; Cioffi Iolanda; Ciuffreda Raffaela; Claro Rafael M.; Coberly Kaleb; Columbus Alyssa; Comfort Haley; Conde Joao; Criqui Michael H.; Cruz-Martins Natalia; Cuadra-Hernandez Silvia Magali; Dadana Sriharsha; Dadras Omid; Dahiru Tukur; Dai Zhaoli; Dalton Bronte; Damiani Giovanni; Darwesh Aso Mohammad; Das Jai K.; Das Saswati; Dashti Mohsen; Dastiridou Anna; Davila-Cervantes Claudio Alberto; Davletov Kairat; Debele Aklilu Tamire; Debopadhaya Shayom; Delavari Somayeh; Delgado-Enciso Ivan; Demeke Dessalegn; Demessa Berecha Hundessa; Deng Xinlei; Denova-Gutierrez Edgar; Deribe Kebede; Dervenis Nikolaos; Desai Hardik Dineshbhai; Desai Rupak; Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan; Dhali Arkadeep; Dhama Kuldeep; Dhimal Meghnath; Dhulipala Vishal R.; da Silva Diana Dias; Diaz Daniel; Diaz Michael J.; Dima Adriana; Ding Delaney D.; Dirac M. Ashworth; Thanh Chi Do; Thao Huynh Phuong Do; do Prado Camila Bruneli; Dohare Sushil; Dong Wanyue; D'Oria Mario; dos Santos Wendel Mombaque; Doshmangir Leila; Dowou Robert Kokou; Dsouza Ashel Chelsea; Dsouza Haneil Larson; Dsouza Viola; Dube John; Duprey Joe; Duraes Andre Rodrigues; Duraisamy Senbagam; Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher; Dutta Sulagna; Dwyer-Lindgren Laura; Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka; Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian; Ebrahimi Alireza; Edinur Hisham Atan; Edvardsson Kristina; Efendi Ferry; Eikemo Terje Andreas; Ekholuenetale Michael; El Tantawi Maha; Elemam Noha Mousaad; ElGohary Ghada Metwally Tawfik; Elhadi Muhammed; Elilo Legesse Tesfaye; Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou; Elmonem Mohamed A.; Elshaer Mohammed; Elsohaby Ibrahim; Zeydi Amir Emami; Bain Luchuo Engelbert; Eskandarieh Sharareh; Esposito Francesco; Estep Kara; Etaee Farshid; Fabin Natalia; Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis; Fahimi Saman; Fakhri-Demeshghieh Aliasghar; Falzone Luca; Faramarzi Ali; Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud; Farmer Sam; Faro Andre; Fasanmi Abidemi Omolara; Fatehizadeh Ali; Fauk Nelsensius Klau; Fazeli Pooria; Feigin Valery L.; Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad; Feroze Abdullah Hamid; Ferrara Pietro; Ferreira Nuno; Fetensa Getahun; Filip Irina; Fischer Florian; Flavel Joanne; Foigt Nataliya A.; Folayan Morenike Oluwatoyin; Fomenkov Artem Alekseevich; Foroutan Behzad; Foschi Matteo; Fowobaje Kayode Raphael; Francis Kate Louise; Freitas Alberto; Fukumoto Takeshi; Fuller John E.; Fux Blima; Gaal Peter Andras; Gadanya Muktar A.; Gaidhane Abhay Motiramji; Galali Yaseen; Gallus Silvano; Gandhi Aravind P.; Ganesan Balasankar; Ganiyani Mohammad Arfat; Garcia-Gordillo M. A.; Garg Naval; Gautam Rupesh K.; Gazzelloni Federica; Gbadamosi Semiu Olatunde; Gebregergis Miglas W.; Gebrehiwot Mesfin; Gebremariam Tesfay Brhane; Gebremariam Tesfay B. B.; Gebremeskel Teferi Gebru; Geda Yohannes Fikadu; Georgescu Simona Roxana; Gerema Urge; Geremew Habtamu; Getachew Motuma Erena; Gething Peter W.; Ghasemi MohammadReza; Dabaghi Ghazal Ghasempour; Ghasemzadeh Afsaneh; Ghassemi Fariba; Ghazy Ramy Mohamed; Ghimire Sailaja; Gholamian Asadollah; Gholamrezanezhad Ali; Ghorbani Mahsa; Ghoshal Aloke Gopal; Ghuge Arun Digambarrao; Gil Artyom Urievich; Gill Tiffany K.; Giorgi Matteo; Girmay Alem; Glasbey James C.; Gobolos Laszlo; Goel Amit; Golchin Ali; Golechha Mahaveer; Goleij Pouya; Gopalani Sameer Vali; Goudarzi Houman; Goulart Alessandra C.; Goyal Anmol; Graham Simon Matthew; Grivna Michal; Guan Shi-Yang; Guarducci Giovanni; Gubari Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen; Gudeta Mesay Dechasa; Guicciardi Stefano; Gulati Snigdha; Gulisashvili David; Gunawardane Damitha Asanga; Guo Cui; Gupta Anish Kumar; Gupta Bhawna; Gupta Manoj Kumar; Gupta Mohak; Gupta Sapna; Gupta Veer Bala; Gupta Vijai Kumar; Gupta Vivek Kumar; Haakenstad Annie; Habibzadeh Farrokh; Hadi Najah R.; Haep Nils; Hajibeygi Ramtin; Haller Sebastian; Halwani Rabih; Hamadeh Randah R.; Hamdy Nadia M.; Hameed Sajid; Hamidi Samer; Han Qiuxia; Handal Alexis J.; Hankey Graeme J.; Haque Md Nuruzzaman; Haro Josep Maria; Hasaballah Ahmed I.; Hasan Ikramul; Hasan Mohammad Jahid; Hasan S. M. Mahmudul; Hasani Hamidreza; Hasnain Md Saquib; Hassan Amr; Hassan Ikrama; Hassanipour Soheil; Hassankhani Hadi; Hay Simon I.; Hebert Jeffrey J.; Hegazi Omar E.; Heidari Mohammad; Helfer Bartosz; Hemmati Mehdi; Herrera-Serna Brenda Yuliana; Herteliu Claudiu; Hessami Kamran; Hezam Kamal; Hiraike Yuta; Nguyen Quoc Hoan; Holla Ramesh; Horita Nobuyuki; Hossain Md Mahbub; Hossain Mohammad Bellal Hossain; Hosseinzadeh Hassan; Hosseinzadeh Mehdi; Hostiuc Mihaela; Hostiuc Sorin; Hsairi Mohamed; Hsieh Vivian Chia-rong; Hu Chengxi; Huang Junjie; Huda M. Mamun; Humayun Ayesha; Hussain Javid; Hussein Nawfal R.; Huynh Hong-Han; Hwang Bing-Fang; Ibitoye Segun Emmanuel; Iftikhar Pulwasha Maria; Ilesanmi Olayinka Stephen; Ilic Irena M.; Ilic Milena D.; Immurana Mustapha; Inbaraj Leeberk Raja; Iqbal Afrin; Islam Md. Rabiul; Ismail Nahlah Elkudssiah; Iso Hiroyasu; Isola Gaetano; Iwagami Masao; Iyer Mahalaxmi; Merin Linda J.; Jaafari Jalil; Jacob Louis; Jadidi-Niaragh Farhad; Jaggi Khushleen; Jahankhani Kasra; Jahanmehr Nader; Jahrami Haitham; Jain Akhil; Jain Nityanand; Jairoun Ammar Abdulrahman; Jakovljevic Mihajlo; Jamshidi Elham; Javadov Sabzali; Javaheri Tahereh; Jayapal Sathish Kumar; Jayaram Shubha; Jee Sun Ha; Jeganathan Jayakumar; Jha Anil K.; Jha Ravi Prakash; Jiang Heng; Jokar Mohammad; Jonas Jost B.; Joo Tamas; Joseph Nitin; Joshua Charity Ehimwenma; Joukar Farahnaz; Jozwiak Jacek Jerzy; Jurisson Mikk; Vaishali K.; Kaambwa Billingsley; Kabir Abdulkareem; Kabir Ali; Kabir Hannaneh; Kabir Zubair; Kalani Rizwan; Kalankesh Leila R.; Kaliyadan Feroze; Kalra Sanjay; Kamath Rajesh; Kamath Sagarika; Kanchan Tanuj; Kanmiki Edmund Wedam; Kanmodi Kehinde Kazeem; Kannan Suthanthira S.; Kansal Sushil Kumar; Kantar Rami S.; Kapoor Neeti; Karajizadeh Mehrdad; Karami Manoochehr; Karaye Ibraheem M.; Kashoo Faizan Zaffar; Kasraei Hengameh; Kassebaum Nicholas J.; Kassel Molly B.; Kauppila Joonas H.; Kazemi Foad; Kazeminia Sara; Kempen John H.; Kendal Evie Shoshannah; Keshtkar Kamyab; Keykhaei Mohammad; Khajuria Himanshu; Khalaji Amirmohammad; Khalid Nauman; Khalil Anees Ahmed; Khalilian Alireza; Khamesipour Faham; Khan Ajmal; Khan Asaduzzaman; Khan Ikramullah; Khan M. Nuruzzaman; Khan Maseer; Khan Mohammad Jobair; Khan Moien A. B.; Khang Young-Ho; Khanmohammadi Shaghayegh; Khatab Khaled; Khavandegar Armin; Kashani Hamid Reza Khayat; Khidri Feriha Fatima; Khormali Moein; Khosravi Mohammad Ali; Khosrowjerdi Mahmood; Kidane Wondwosen Teklesilasie; Kifle Zemene Demelash; Kim Julie Sojin; Kim Min Seo; Kimokoti Ruth W.; Kinzel Kasey E.; Kiross Girmay Tsegay; Kisa Adnan; Kisa Sezer; Kolahi Ali-Asghar; Kompani Farzad; Koren Gerbrand; Korzh Oleksii; Kosen Soewarta; Laxminarayana Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane; Krishan Kewal; Krishna Varun; Krishnamoorthy Vijay; Defo Barthelemy Kuate; Kubeisy Connor M.; Bicer Burcu Kucuk; Kuddus Md Abdul; Kuddus Mohammed; Kuitunen Ilari; Kulimbet Mukhtar; Kumar Harish; Kundu Satyajit; Kunle Rotimi Kunle; Kurmi Om P.; Kusnali Asep; Kusuma Dian; Kyei Evans F.; Kyriopoulos Ilias; La Vecchia Carlo; Lacey Ben; Ladan Muhammad Awwal; Laflamme Lucie; Lahariya Chandrakant; Lai Daphne Teck Ching; Lal Dharmesh Kumar; Lalloo Ratilal; Lam Judit; Lamnisos Demetris; Landires Ivan; Lanfranchi Francesco; Langguth Berthold; Laplante-Levesque Ariane; Larson Heidi Jane; Larsson Anders O.; Lasrado Savita; Latief Kamaluddin; Latifinaibin Kaveh; Long Khanh Dao Le; Nhi Huu Hanh Le; Trang Diep Thanh Le; Ledda Caterina; Lee Munjae; Lee Paul H.; Lee Seung Won; Lee Yo Han; Lema Gebretsadik Kiros; Leong Elvynna; Lerango Temesgen L.; Li An; Li Ming-Chieh; Li Shanshan; Li Wei; Li Xiaopan; Ligade Virendra S.; Lim Stephen S.; Lin Ro-Ting; Lindstedt Paulina A.; Listl Stefan; Liu Gang; Liu Jue; Liu Xiaofeng; Liu Xuefeng; Liu Yuewei; Llanaj Erand; Lopez-Bueno Ruben; Lopukhov Platon D.; Lorenzovici Laszlo; Lotufo Paulo A.; Lubinda Jailos; Lucchetti Giancarlo; Lugo Alessandra; Lunevicius Raimundas; Lv Hengliang; Ma Zheng Feei; Maass Kelsey Lynn; Machoy Monika; Madureira-Carvalho Aurea M.; El Razek Mohammed Magdy Abd; Maghazachi Azzam A.; Mahjoub Soleiman; Mahmoud Mansour Adam; Majeed Azeem; Malagon-Rojas Jeadran N.; Rad Elaheh Malakan; Malhotra Kashish; Malik Ahmad Azam; Malik Iram; Malta Deborah Carvalho; Mamun Abdullah A.; Manla Yosef; Mansoori Yasaman; Mansour Ali; Mansouri Borhan; Mansouri Zeinab; Mansournia Mohammad Ali; Maravilla Joemer C.; Marino Mirko; Marjani Abdoljalal; Martinez Gabriel; Martinez-Piedra Ramon; Martins-Melo Francisco Rogerlandio; Martorell Miquel; Maryam Sharmeen; Marzo Roy Rillera; Masoudi Alireza; Mattumpuram Jishanth; Maude Richard James; Maugeri Andrea; May Erin A.; Mayeli Mahsa; Mazaheri Maryam; McGrath John J.; Mckee Martin; Laura Anna; McKowen Wensel; McLaughlin Susan A.; McPhail Steven M.; Mehra Rahul; Mehrabani-Zeinabad Kamran; Nasab Entezar Mehrabi; Meto Tesfahun Mekene; Mendez-Lopez Max Alberto Mendez; Mendoza Walter; Menezes Ritesh G.; Mensah George A.; Mentis Alexios-Fotios A.; Meo Sultan Ayoub; Merati Mohsen; Meretoja Atte; Meretoja Tuomo J.; Mersha Abera M.; Mestrovic Tomislav; Metanat Pouya; Mettananda Kukulege Chamila Dinushi; Mettananda Sachith; Mhlanga Adquate; Mhlanga Laurette; Mi Tianyue; Miazgowski Tomasz; Micha Georgia; Michalek Irmina Maria; Miller Ted R.; Minh Le Huu Nhat; Mirghafourvand Mojgan; Mirrakhimov Erkin M.; Mirutse Mizan Kiros; Mirza Moonis; Mirzaei Roya; Mishra Ashim; Misra Sanjeev; Mitchell Philip B.; Mittal Chaitanya; Moazen Babak; Mohamed Abdalla Z.; Mohamed Ahmed Ismail; Mohamed Jama; Mohamed Mouhand F. 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Z.; Zangiabadian Moein; Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich; Zhang Haijun; Zhang Meixin; Zhang Yunquan; Zhong Chenwen; Zhou Juexiao; Zhu Bin; Zhu Lei; Zielinska Magdalena; Zou Zhiyong; Zyoud Samer H.; Murray Christopher J. L.; Smith Amanda E.; Vollset Stein Emil | Lancet, 2024 | |
AbstractBackground Accurate assessments of current and future fertility-including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions-are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios.Methods To estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10-54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in habitable areas, and under-5 mortality) were given equal weights, and analyses were conducted utilising the MR-BRT (meta-regression-Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. To capture time-series trends in CCF50 not explained by these covariates, we used a first-order autoregressive model on the residual term. CCF50 as a proportion of each 5-year ASFR was predicted using a linear mixed-effects model with fixed-effects covariates ( female educational attainment and contraceptive met need) and random intercepts for geographical regions. Projected TFRs were then computed for each calendar year as the sum of single-year ASFRs across age groups. The reference forecast is our estimate of the most likely fertility future given the model, past fertility, forecasts of covariates, and historical relationships between covariates and fertility. We additionally produced forecasts for multiple alternative scenarios in each location: the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for education is achieved by 2030; the contraceptive met need SDG is achieved by 2030; pro-natal policies are enacted to create supportive environments for those who give birth; and the previous three scenarios combined. Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2 center dot 5 and 97 center dot 5 percentiles of the draws. To evaluate the forecasting performance of our model and others, we computed skill values-a metric assessing gain in forecasting accuracy-by comparing predicted versus observed ASFRs from the past 15 years (2007-21). A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline.Findings During the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4 center dot 84 (95% UI 4 center dot 63-5 center dot 06) to 2 center dot 23 (2 center dot 09-2 center dot 38). Global annual livebirths peaked in 2016 at 142 million (95% UI 137-147), declining to 129 million (121-138) in 2021. Fertility rates declined in all countries and territories since 1950, with TFR remaining above 2 center dot 1-canonically considered replacement-level fertility-in 94 (46 center dot 1%) countries and territories in 2021. This included 44 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, which was the super-region with the largest share of livebirths in 2021 (29 center dot 2% [28 center dot 7-29 center dot 6]). 47 countries and territories in which lowest estimated fertility between 1950 and 2021 was below replacement experienced one or more subsequent years with higher fertility; only three of these locations rebounded above replacement levels. Future fertility rates were projected to continue to decline worldwide, reaching a global TFR of 1 center dot 83 (1 center dot 59-2 center dot 08) in 2050 and 1 center dot 59 (1 center dot 25-1 center dot 96) in 2100 under the reference scenario. The number of countries and territories with fertility rates remaining above replacement was forecast to be 49 (24 center dot 0%) in 2050 and only six (2 center dot 9%) in 2100, with three of these six countries included in the 2021 World Bank-defined low-income group, all located in the GBD super-region of sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of livebirths occurring in sub-Saharan Africa was forecast to increase to more than half of the world's livebirths in 2100, to 41 center dot 3% (39 center dot 6-43 center dot 1) in 2050 and 54 center dot 3% (47 center dot 1-59 center dot 5) in 2100. The share of livebirths was projected to decline between 2021 and 2100 in most of the six other super-regions-decreasing, for example, in south Asia from 24 center dot 8% (23 center dot 7-25 center dot 8) in 2021 to 16 center dot 7% (14 center dot 3-19 center dot 1) in 2050 and 7 center dot 1% (4 center dot 4-10 center dot 1) in 2100-but was forecast to increase modestly in the north Africa and Middle East and high-income super-regions. Forecast estimates for the alternative combined scenario suggest that meeting SDG targets for education and contraceptive met need, as well as implementing pro-natal policies, would result in global TFRs of 1 center dot 65 (1 center dot 40-1 center dot 92) in 2050 and 1 center dot 62 (1 center dot 35-1 center dot 95) in 2100. The forecasting skill metric values for the IHME model were positive across all age groups, indicating that the model is better than the constant prediction.Interpretation Fertility is declining globally, with rates in more than half of all countries and territories in 2021 below replacement level. Trends since 2000 show considerable heterogeneity in the steepness of declines, and only a small number of countries experienced even a slight fertility rebound after their lowest observed rate, with none reaching replacement level. Additionally, the distribution of livebirths across the globe is shifting, with a greater proportion occurring in the lowest-income countries. Future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide and will remain low even under successful implementation of pro-natal policies. These changes will have far-reaching economic and societal consequences due to ageing populations and declining workforces in higher-income countries, combined with an increasing share of livebirths among the already poorest regions of the world. |
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conference paper
Introducing Probabilities In Networks Of Polarized Splicing Processors |
Mitrana V.; Păun M. | Communications In Computer And Information Science, 2024 | |
AbstractMotivated by the need of reducing the huge amount of data navigating simultaneously through a network of polarized splicing processors, we look to the possibility of introducing probabilities which theoretically could decrease this amount, at a price of some loss of certainty. We imagined two possible situations regarding the splicing step: to associate either fixed or dynamically computed probabilities with splicing rules in every node. Similarly to the splicing step, two situations could be considered for the communication step depending on the way the probabilities are associated: statically or dynamically. We believe that this new feature together with the communication protocol based on polarization might facilitate software simulations or hardware implementations. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024. |
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article
Jump Complexity Of Finite Automata With Translucent Letters |
Mitrana Victor; Paun Andrei; Paun Mihaela; Couso Jose Ramon Sanchez | Theoretical Computer Science, 2024 | |
AbstractWe define the jump complexity of a finite automaton with translucent letters as a function that computes the smallest upper bound on the number of jumps needed by the automaton in order to accept each word of length n, for any positive integer n. We prove that a sufficient condition for a finite automaton with translucent letters to accept a regular language is to have a jump complexity bounded by a constant. Along the same lines, we show that there are languages which require a jump complexity in Omega(n) of any finite automaton with translucent letters accepting one of these languages. We also show that there exist nondeterministic finite automata with translucent letters of jump complexity in O(log n) and O(root n) that accept non-regular languages. Several open problems and directions for further developments are finally discussed. |
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conference paper
Networks Of Splicing Processors With Various Topologies |
Mitrana V.; Păun M.; Martín J.A.S. | Lecture Notes In Computer Science (Including Subseries Lecture Notes In Artificial Intelligence And Lecture Notes In Bioinformatics), 2024 | |
AbstractWe consider networks whose nodes host splicing processors, that is processors that are able to simulate the DNA recombination by splicing. Several topologies for the underlying graph of these networks are investigated. More precisely, we show that each network of splicing processors with some underlying graph can be directly converted into an equivalent network having an underlying graph of a different topology. Several common topologies are considered: full-mesh, star, grid, and wheel (ring-star). We also investigate the time and size complexity of each of these simulations. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024. |
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